Republican narrowly scrapes ahead in dramatic OH congressional race

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Republican Troy Balderson appears to have barely squeaked by Democrat Danny O'Connor in a heavily Republican Ohio congressional district Tuesday, the latest warning sign that the GOP is headed into a brutal fall election season.

Pollsters rate the OH race between Republican State Senator Troy Balderson and Democratic lawyer Danny O'Connor, 31, as a toss-up.

The Ohio race - the last special congressional election before November - is one of two taking place on Tuesday into which President Donald Trump has injected himself, turning both into new tests of Trump's tactics and sway with Republican voters.

Tonight, the OH special election widely seen as a referendum on President Donald Trump reaches its conclusion. In the past week alone, the RNC, CLF, America First Action, and the National Republican Congressional Committee, America First Action spent over $885,000 bolstering Balderson through get out the vote efforts and digital advertising, according to FEC records; within that time frame, outside Democratic groups supporting O'Connor did even half of that.

Kansas is a deep-red state - Trump won there by 20 percentage points in 2016 - and any Republican would be favored in the gubernatorial election in November.

The special election in OH coincided with with a series of primaries for Senate, House and gubernatorial nominations in Kansas, Missouri, Michigan and Washington.

Meanwhile, in Michigan, Trump also had a good night. "A very special and important race!" he said in a second tweet.

In the Republican primary for Kansas governor, Trump on Monday endorsed Kris Kobach, the Kansas secretary of state known for his crusade for restrictive voting laws, over incumbent Gov. Jeff Colyer.

The narrow margin will be little comfort for Republicans anxious about the prospect of a Democratic wave heading into the November 6 elections, and it is certain to encourage Democrats who performed dramatically better than expected in a district Republicans have represented since the early 1980s.

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Johnson said that both murders and shootings are down on the year, but said this weekend showed there was still a lot to do. I never hear people saying 'These individuals out here in the streets need to stop pulling the trigger.' ...

Michigan State Attorney General Bill Schuette won the Republican nomination for governor on Tuesday night, defeating three other candidates working to fill the seat to be vacated by conservative Gov. Rick Snyder.

If Balderson's 1,766 vote margin holds up, Democrats still need a net gain of 23 seats to take back the majority, and Republicans still need to hold on to 61 seats to maintain the majority.

Trump didn't seem anxious about Kobach's prospects.

Should the polarizing Kobach win, some Republican operatives fear he could lose the governor's seat to Democrats this fall.

The concern extends to Kobach's potential impact on two potentially competitive congressional races in Kansas, too - including Rep. Kevin Yoder's re-election bid in the 3rd District, a top Democratic target. Bernie Sanders, Vermont independent, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the newest socialist star, made several endorsements in Tuesday's primaries.

O'Connor dominated Balderson on the local airwaves.

The Republican Party has held the OH 12th District seat for more than three decades, so the very fact that it's so close is significant.

Mr. Hawley, the Missouri attorney general, advances to face Democratic Sen.

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